Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 4.689280 5.082720 5.508312 6.005448 6.573496 7.206286 7.970099
2025-03-30 3.962174 4.484063 5.087843 5.847672 6.792610 7.949140 9.504719
2025-04-06 3.511021 4.084440 4.777489 5.694848 6.906345 8.497209 10.829491
2025-04-13 3.193221 3.790707 4.536774 5.563335 6.985244 8.964108 12.090758
2025-04-20 2.971704 3.587664 4.378184 5.502819 7.127716 9.512703 13.561616
2025-04-27 2.860629 3.512046 4.371488 5.636901 7.548589 10.522704 16.005383
2025-05-04 2.764740 3.445243 4.365550 5.763816 7.966553 11.593010 18.866519
2025-05-11 2.636993 3.323687 4.270259 5.744333 8.145931 12.289647 21.233180
2025-05-18 2.517754 3.204746 4.167567 5.699908 8.273100 12.909509 23.650880
2025-05-25 2.376311 3.045501 3.994337 5.527884 8.159805 13.055857 25.030457
2025-06-01 2.262900 2.919857 3.862160 5.408872 8.122782 13.341080 26.867125
2025-06-08 2.192204 2.851745 3.811029 5.415606 8.309294 14.111309 30.348582
2025-06-15 2.143673 2.817557 3.815304 5.525477 8.723182 15.510327 36.717692
2025-06-22 2.037218 2.692784 3.672947 5.375943 8.626015 15.756163 39.592229
2025-06-29 1.942762 2.581350 3.544822 5.240197 8.538921 16.010245 42.740800
2025-07-06 1.860300 2.484033 3.433251 5.124009 8.476088 16.311456 46.376256
2025-07-13 1.797224 2.413321 3.360189 5.070526 8.536283 16.946369 52.153326
2025-07-20 1.773158 2.401219 3.380954 5.188953 8.979186 18.744742 66.230881
2025-07-27 1.749037 2.387549 3.397782 5.300890 9.425870 20.722692 85.692141
2025-08-03 1.702848 2.336851 3.349458 5.283716 9.573169 21.838138 102.148563
2025-08-10 1.655734 2.282685 3.292302 5.244544 9.662933 22.803752 120.597517
2025-08-17 1.592116 2.199758 3.182100 5.092677 9.459274 22.698349 127.981459
2025-08-24 1.539800 2.133377 3.097763 4.987441 9.361097 22.959199 141.385491